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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 10, 2018 15:19:11 GMT -5
Va Bch is barely in the cone and ALL the stores are already out of water and the shelves are emptying.
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goatgrinder
spending too much on rocks
Make mine a man cave
Member since January 2017
Posts: 368
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Post by goatgrinder on Sept 10, 2018 15:21:14 GMT -5
Better get there quick for the meager pickings.
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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 10, 2018 15:23:15 GMT -5
Better get there quick for the meager pickings. We live in hurricane country. We have a hurricane box. Don't need anything..... but extra water is always good.
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goatgrinder
spending too much on rocks
Make mine a man cave
Member since January 2017
Posts: 368
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Post by goatgrinder on Sept 10, 2018 15:30:38 GMT -5
I grew up in Florida. Our hurricane box held water too. To be imbibed when the good stuff was gone.
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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 10, 2018 15:31:10 GMT -5
I grew up in Florida. Our hurricane box held water too. To be imbibed when the good stuff was gone. LOL! I hear ya!
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Post by parfive on Sept 10, 2018 17:05:28 GMT -5
Up to 140, and still expected to increase: Unfortunately, the models were right. Florence has rapidly intensified into an extremely dangerous hurricane . . . Notably, the aircraft data also show the size of the hurricane-force winds has doubled in the past 12 hours.
None of the guidance suggest that Florence has peaked in intensity, and this is supported by a continuation of a low-shear environment, and even warmer waters over the next 36 hours. Thus, the intensity forecast is raised from the previous one, bringing Florence close to category 5 strength tomorrow. Near landfall, the vertical wind shear could increase, along with the increasing likelihood of eyewall cycles. While the intensity forecast shows some weakening of the maximum winds near landfall, the wind field is expected to grow with time, which increases the storm surge and inland wind threats. The bottom line is that there is high confidence that Florence will be a large and extremely dangerous hurricane, regardless of its exact intensity.
INIT 120 KT 140 MPH 12H 130 KT 150 MPH 24H 135 KT 155 MPH 36H 135 KT 155 MPH 48H 130 KT 150 MPH 72H 120 KT 140 MPH 96H 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND 120H 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 10, 2018 18:30:29 GMT -5
Mandatory evacuations of some areas called for already. The Virginia Emergency Management site crashed. The Navy is moving out.
We'll be going to my daughter's. She has a whole house generator in a house built in the 20's which has seen lots of hurricanes..... if we have to, that is.
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Post by beefjello on Sept 10, 2018 18:43:23 GMT -5
All you RTHr's in the projected path, please stay safe!!
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Post by Pat on Sept 10, 2018 19:58:35 GMT -5
Hang on! Tight!
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Post by hummingbirdstones on Sept 10, 2018 23:17:02 GMT -5
All y'all stay safe. My sister and brother-in-law just bugged out of Myrtle Beach. Had to drive up to North Carolina to my brother-in-law's brother's house in Chapel Hill. They're catching a flight back to Chicago tomorrow out of Raleigh before the airports shut down.
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lancemountain
starting to spend too much on rocks
Member since March 2017
Posts: 214
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Post by lancemountain on Sept 11, 2018 2:09:59 GMT -5
I am way way north up the coast, out of the path of this one-Sandy unfortunately was devastating for me and my family. Hurricanes make me nervous and this one looks particularly nasty. Anyone in the path of this one please be safe!
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loot
starting to spend too much on rocks
Member since October 2017
Posts: 111
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Post by loot on Sept 11, 2018 4:23:54 GMT -5
Wife an I are just bout to board plane, heading to Wilmington to go get my parents out of myrtle beach. Got a last minute flight cause found out yesterday that dad has pneumonia and said he didnt think her could make the drive. We should get to his place just before they flip the roads. Wish us luck.
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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 11, 2018 5:12:00 GMT -5
Dh went to 3 walmarts this morning at 2am for water. No water. Schools in the area are closed. The track is not looking good for us. We are on the very tip of southeatern Va., to the east of Norfolk on the map. Even a hit to the Raleigh coast will affect us. Our ground is already saturated. We expect some major flooding.
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Post by RickB on Sept 11, 2018 5:58:20 GMT -5
Here in SC we filled the car and truck with gas - extra gas for the generator. Have plenty of food and water. Current forecast for us in Columbia are strong winds and possible flooding. Lane reversals from the coastal areas begin today at 12:00. Rock collection (ballast) should hold us down and keep us from washing away. Rick B
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Post by fernwood on Sept 11, 2018 6:42:57 GMT -5
Stay safe everyone. This is gonna be a bad one for sure.
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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 11, 2018 7:11:54 GMT -5
8am intermediate update- tracking a little more north. Ouch- stop that!
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Post by orrum on Sept 11, 2018 7:43:08 GMT -5
Lookin down the eye here!!! Did this too many times!#!
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Post by rockjunquie on Sept 11, 2018 7:59:41 GMT -5
Lookin down the eye here!!! Did this too many times!#! Stay safe, Dude! Are you leaving?
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Post by parfive on Sept 11, 2018 12:27:19 GMT -5
Although the global and regional models continue to make minor shifts northward and southward, the consensus models have changed little. GOES-16 high-resolution water vapor imagery indicates that the amplifying large-scale flow pattern across CONUS is inducing a downstream ridge over the western Atlantic, with a high pressure cell centered northwest of Bermuda. This blocking ridge pattern is expected to keep Florence moving west-northwestward to northwest at around 15 kt for the next 48 hours or so. However, embedded within the large-scale flow is a weak shortwave trough over the central and southern Plains that is expected to eject out northeastward and weaken the ridging across the mid-Atlantic and southeastern U.S., causing Florence to slow down significantly in 72 hours as the powerful hurricane approaches the Carolinas. On days 4 and 5, an even slower motion or drift to the west and northwest is forecast, which will exacerbate the heavy rainfall threat.
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Tommy
Administrator
Member since January 2013
Posts: 12,881
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Post by Tommy on Sept 11, 2018 12:59:52 GMT -5
Lookin down the eye here!!! Did this too many times!#! Stay safe, Dude! Are you leaving? Stay safe both of you - and anyone else close to this thing We're glued to the weather channel already and wishing you all the best.
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